The Many Dimensions of Political Discourse on Taiwan among Chinese netizens: an analysis of 20 million Weibo posts Huan-Kai Tseng, Osbern Huang, Waybe Lee and Yu-tzung Chang (National Taiwan University) Abstract: Can microblog data be a useful substitute for internet poll to gauge public... Read More The Many Dimensions of Political Discourse on Taiwan among Chinese netizens: an analysis of 20 million Weibo posts
Using Latent Class Analysis to Explain Donor Behavior Jay Goodliffe (Brigham Young University) *Award for Best Faculty Poster* Abstract: Why do citizens start donating to campaigns? Why do donors stop donating? Using latent class... Read More Using Latent Class Analysis to Explain Donor Behavior
What Matters to Voters? Examining Micro-Level and Macro-Level Drivers of Citizens' Economic and Political Evaluations James Bisbee (Princeton University) and Jan Zilinsky (New York University) Abstract: Voters form beliefs about the economy and politics on the basis of a potentially rich information... Read More What Matters to Voters? Examining Micro-Level and Macro-Level Drivers of Citizens' Economic and Political Evaluations
Estimating the Dark Figure of Crime Using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees Plus Poststratification (BARP) Isabel Laterzo (University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill) Abstract: Studies of both crime victimization and violence often suffer from demonstrably unreliable crime figures... Read More Estimating the Dark Figure of Crime Using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees Plus Poststratification (BARP)
Decoding Propaganda Slogans in China: Reading Between the Lines Using Word Embeddings Yin Yuan (University of California, San Diego) Abstract: Propaganda slogans in China (a.k.a. “catchphrases” or “tifa”) are widely believed to be artifacts of propaganda aimed at... Read More Decoding Propaganda Slogans in China: Reading Between the Lines Using Word Embeddings
Attributable Risk of Race: Detecting Partisan and Racial Gerrymandering Sidak Yntiso and Sanford Gordon (New York University) Abstract: How can we measure racial gerrymandering? Isolating racially disparate impacts of redistricting has proven difficult... Read More Attributable Risk of Race: Detecting Partisan and Racial Gerrymandering
Religiosity and Secularism: A Text-as-Data Approach to Recover Jihadist Groups' Rhetorical Strategies Luwei Ying (Washington University in St. Louis) *Award for Best Graduate Student Poster - Applications* Abstract: Radical Islamists as the major force of the current "wave" of... Read More Religiosity and Secularism: A Text-as-Data Approach to Recover Jihadist Groups' Rhetorical Strategies
How a Deep Neural Network Contributes to Learning Causal Graph and Forecasting Political Dynamics Seo Eun Yang (Ohio State University) Abstract: Nonlinearity has been considerably interested in time series analysis of conflict/opinion dynamics. However, handling unknown nonlinear... Read More How a Deep Neural Network Contributes to Learning Causal Graph and Forecasting Political Dynamics
Finding Social Media Trolls: Dynamic Keyword Selection Methods for Rapidly Evolving Online Debates Maya Srikanth, Anqi Liu, Nicholas Adams-Cohen, Anima Anandkumar and R. Michael Alvarez (California Institute of Technology) Abstract: Online harassment is a significant social problem... Read More Finding Social Media Trolls: Dynamic Keyword Selection Methods for Rapidly Evolving Online Debates
Voter Turnout and Campaign Mail Features Marcy Shieh and Blake Reynolds (University of Wisconsin-Madison) Abstract: The way images and text are presented to us can have a significant impact on how we are affected by the message... Read More Voter Turnout and Campaign Mail Features
The Consequences of Social Interaction on Outparty Affect and Stereotypes Erin Rossiter (Washington University in St. Louis) *Award for Best Graduate Student Poster - Applications* Abstract: Americans increasingly dislike members of the opposite political... Read More The Consequences of Social Interaction on Outparty Affect and Stereotypes
Pay attention to this! Explaining emphasis in legislative speech. Oliver Rittmann (University of Mannheim), Tobias Ringwald (Karlsruhe Institute of Technology) and Dominic Nyhuis (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill) Abstract: Why do... Read More Pay attention to this! Explaining emphasis in legislative speech.
Changing the Dialogue: Candidate Position-Taking in Primary Elections Rachel Porter, Sarah Treul and Maura McDonald (University of North Carolina) Abstract: The record-high number of women who ran for the U.S. Congress during the midterm elections led... Read More Changing the Dialogue: Candidate Position-Taking in Primary Elections
The Politics of Science: Evidence From 19th-Century Public Health Casey Petroff (Harvard University) Abstract: How do governments decide between protecting public health and protecting the economy when a new disease threat emerges? I study this... Read More The Politics of Science: Evidence From 19th-Century Public Health
Who Do You Think You’re Fooling? Examining the Internal Russian Disinformation Campaign Sean Norton (University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill) Abstract: While an extensive literature in both the academic and popular presses has examined the Russian state’s use of... Read More Who Do You Think You’re Fooling? Examining the Internal Russian Disinformation Campaign
The Moral Narrative of the European Sovereign Bond Crisis Nicola Nones (University of Virginia) Abstract: In this paper, I take a first step towards assessing if and to what extent the debt crisis has given rise to a moral narrative that... Read More The Moral Narrative of the European Sovereign Bond Crisis
Urban-Rural Divide in State Political Parties Zoe Nemerever (University of California, San Diego) Abstract: The urban-rural divide in American politics typically is presented as a comprehensive explanation for electoral outcomes... Read More Urban-Rural Divide in State Political Parties
Measuring Political Polarization in Mass Publics: The Cluster-Polarization Coefficient Isaac Mehlhaff (University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill) Abstract: Political polarization has become a key concern in many important topics within comparative politics, yet past... Read More Measuring Political Polarization in Mass Publics: The Cluster-Polarization Coefficient
Contrastive Multiple Component Analysis (cMCA): Applying the Contrastive Learning Method to Identify Political Subgroups Tzu-Ping Liu and Takanori Fujiwara (University of California, Davis) Abstract: Ideal point estimation and dimensionality reduction have long been utilized to simplify and cluster complex... Read More Contrastive Multiple Component Analysis (cMCA): Applying the Contrastive Learning Method to Identify Political Subgroups
Value Shift: Immigration Attitudes and the Sociocultural Divide Caroline Lancaster (University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill) Abstract: Socially-liberal attitudes towards cultural issues, such as women's rights, enjoy broad acceptance in Western... Read More Value Shift: Immigration Attitudes and the Sociocultural Divide
The Puzzling Politics of R&d: Signaling Competence Through Risky Projects Natalia Lamberova (University of California, Los Angeles) Abstract: Why do some leaders devote significant funds to research and development (R&D) even though such investments are... Read More The Puzzling Politics of R&d: Signaling Competence Through Risky Projects
Diffusion of Cybersecurity Policies Nadiya Kostyuk (University of Michigan, Ann Arbor) Abstract: One of the most important developments of the last two decades has been the spread of national cybersecurity policies that... Read More Diffusion of Cybersecurity Policies
The Spread of Promotion of Political Violence on Twitter Taegyoon Kim (Pennsylvania State University) Abstract: Although social media contribute to political participation by enabling citizens to freely express and exchange political... Read More The Spread of Promotion of Political Violence on Twitter
Donation Dynamics: Do Critical Campaign Events Influence Contributions? Seo-young Silvia Kim (California Institute of Technology) Abstract: What events motivate individual campaign contributions? Using the 2016 campaign finance data from the Federal Election... Read More Donation Dynamics: Do Critical Campaign Events Influence Contributions?
Non-Parametric Bridging of Non-Parametric Ideological Scales: Application to Mapping Voters on Politicians’ Ideological Space Tzu-Ping Liu, Gento Kato and Samuel Fuller (University of California, Davis) Abstract: Bridging ideological estimates of various groups and polities is an important, but relatively... Read More Non-Parametric Bridging of Non-Parametric Ideological Scales: Application to Mapping Voters on Politicians’ Ideological Space