Estimating the Dark Figure of Crime Using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees Plus Poststratification (BARP) Isabel Laterzo (University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill) Abstract: Studies of both crime victimization and violence often suffer from demonstrably unreliable crime figures... Read More Estimating the Dark Figure of Crime Using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees Plus Poststratification (BARP)
Framing Democracy: Identifying Autocratic Anti-Democratic Propaganda Using Word Embeddings Patrick Chester (New York University) Abstract: There is substantial empirical evidence that indicates that democracy can spread between countries through observational learning... Read More Framing Democracy: Identifying Autocratic Anti-Democratic Propaganda Using Word Embeddings
Decoding Propaganda Slogans in China: Reading Between the Lines Using Word Embeddings Yin Yuan (University of California, San Diego) Abstract: Propaganda slogans in China (a.k.a. “catchphrases” or “tifa”) are widely believed to be artifacts of propaganda aimed at... Read More Decoding Propaganda Slogans in China: Reading Between the Lines Using Word Embeddings
Measuring Political Elite Networks With Wikidata Omer Faruk Yalcin (Pennsylvania State University) Abstract: An important issue in the study of comparative political elite networks is the elusiveness of cross-country empirical... Read More Measuring Political Elite Networks With Wikidata
The Moral Narrative of the European Sovereign Bond Crisis Nicola Nones (University of Virginia) Abstract: In this paper, I take a first step towards assessing if and to what extent the debt crisis has given rise to a moral narrative that... Read More The Moral Narrative of the European Sovereign Bond Crisis
A New Multilevel-Based Indicator for Party System Nationalization Kazuma Mizukoshi (University College London) Abstract: “Science is impossible without an evolving network of stable measures” (Wright 1997: 33), but to what extent should measures... Read More A New Multilevel-Based Indicator for Party System Nationalization
Value Shift: Immigration Attitudes and the Sociocultural Divide Caroline Lancaster (University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill) Abstract: Socially-liberal attitudes towards cultural issues, such as women's rights, enjoy broad acceptance in Western... Read More Value Shift: Immigration Attitudes and the Sociocultural Divide
How Criminal Organizations Expand to Strong States: Migrants' Exploitation and Vote Buying in Northern Italy Gemma Dipoppa (University of Pennsylvania) Abstract: Criminal organizations are widely believed to emerge in weak states unable to protect the property rights and safety of their... Read More How Criminal Organizations Expand to Strong States: Migrants' Exploitation and Vote Buying in Northern Italy
The Persuasion Effect and Contrast Effect of Radical Right Voters – the case of Germany Ka-Ming Chan (Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich) Abstract: During the 2013-2017 electoral cycle, Alternative for Germany (AfD) emerged as a radical right party in the electoral market... Read More The Persuasion Effect and Contrast Effect of Radical Right Voters – the case of Germany
(How) Do Elections Build States? Evidence from Liberian Electoral Administration Jeremy Bowles (Harvard University) Abstract: In contexts where the state otherwise has limited reach, effective electoral administration permits the projection of state authority... Read More (How) Do Elections Build States? Evidence from Liberian Electoral Administration
Collective Property Rights Reduce Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon Kathryn Baragwanath and Ella Bayi (University of California, San Diego) Abstract: In this paper, we draw on common-pool resource theory to argue that indigenous territories, when... Read More Collective Property Rights Reduce Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon
When Inequality Matters: The Role of Wealth During England's Democratic Transition Ali Ahmed (New York University) Abstract: Do democratic reforms confer equal benefits to all citizens? Or are the material gains from such transitions conditioned by pre-existing... Read More When Inequality Matters: The Role of Wealth During England's Democratic Transition