Bayesian Analysis

Estimating the Dark Figure of Crime Using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees Plus Poststratification (BARP)

Isabel Laterzo (University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill)

Abstract: Studies of both crime victimization and violence often suffer from demonstrably unreliable crime figures. Consequently, researchers typically use homicide rates as an indicator to reflect all types of violence, despite this figure’s biases. The...

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Estimating Population Quantities From Multiple Data Sources Using the Structural Tensor Factorization

Soichiro Yamauchi (Harvard University)

Abstract: Estimating population quantities such as public opinions from survey data is a fundamental task in many social science studies. In political science, there is a growing interest in estimating public opinions at the level smaller than the entire nation, such as states (Lax and Phillips...

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Distances in Latent Space: A Novel Approach to Analyzing Conjoints

Simon Hoellerbauer (University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill)

Abstract:  Recent work (Abramson, Kocak, and Magazinnik, n.d.) has shown the potential pitfalls of using conjoint analysis to understand aggregate preferences over alternative profiles. Adapting recent work that frames conjoint analysis in an IRT...

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